International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education (PME)

Proceedings of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education · Volume 1

Stochastic Competencies Development in Grade 4

Antonia Wunsch, Robert von Hering, Henning Sievert

University Hildesheim

49th Annual Conference of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education, PME 2026Helsinki27 July 2026 - 1 August 2026pp. 1603–1610ISSN 2790-36482026Scopus conference code 336559
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Abstract

Stochastic competencies are crucial in both daily lives of primary school children and their social participation. Hence, developing stochastic competencies is a mandatory goal in mathematics education. However, challenges are apparent in the three subdomains of data, combinatorics, and chance. Despite their growing societal importance, the state of research on primary school stochastic competencies and their development remains insufficient. Accordingly, in this study, we conducted a longitudinal analysis of the development of students’ stochastic competencies in Grade 4 by collecting data from 586 students across 42 classes in 18 schools in Germany. The results show developments in all three subdomains as well as significant differences both between schools and classes.

Keywords

stochastic competenciesprimary schoollongitudinal study

Recommended citation

Wunsch, A., von Hering, R., & Sievert, H. (2026). Stochastic Competencies Development in Grade 4. In Krzywacki H., Hähkiöniemi M., Haataja E., Hannula M.S., Hästö P. (Eds.), Proceedings of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education, Volume 1 (pp. 1603–1610). Psychology of Mathematics Education (PME). ISSN 2790-3648.

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